TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Oxford United and Wigan. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Oxford United and Wigan in their EFL League One match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, with resolution set to 'Yes' if the actual goal count surpasses that threshold. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on models and biases, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the prediction market tends to adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's life, as the crowd processes information and forms its own assessment of the likely outcome of the Oxford vs Wigan match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market continuously updates as new information emerges and participants adjust their beliefs about the likely number of goals in the Oxford vs Wigan game.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Oxford United versus Wigan Athletic match will be used to determine the winning contract. Specifically, the total number of goals scored by both teams combined will be the deciding factor. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all participants in this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the match concludes.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Oxford United or Wigan Athletic would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence traders’ expectations. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could all contribute to shifts in the market price. A major upset in another match involving either team could also indirectly affect sentiment and trading activity in this market.