TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 3.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 3.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 01d:23h:43m
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This event tracks the total number of goals scored during a soccer match between Oxford United and Reading. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Oxford United and Reading in their EFL League One match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, explicitly excluding goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total exceeds that threshold. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the league or teams involved, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate forecasts than traditional betting odds, though discrepancies can exist, especially closer to the event. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, such as team news or injury reports, potentially leading to differences in implied probabilities compared to sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Oxford vs Reading match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The current price represents the market’s best estimate of the likelihood of each total goal scenario.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Oxford United vs Reading match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the match—including any own goals and goals scored during extra time, but excluding penalty shootouts—will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders holding the contract corresponding to the actual total goals scored will receive a payout of 100, while those holding losing contracts will receive nothing.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Oxford United or Reading would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or managerial decisions could also lead to shifts in the market. Furthermore, any significant public information, such as expert analysis predicting a high or low-scoring game, could influence trading activity and therefore the prices within this market.