TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 12:41 AM EST
Kalshi
Two ice hockey franchises battle in a contest set for October 27, 2026. The determination rests solely on which team emerges triumphant from this matchup. Games delayed but starting within 48 hours of the original time proceed as planned, while cancellations result in a fair market resolution.
The market resolves based on the winner of the NHL game between Ottawa and Vegas scheduled for October 27, 2026. If Vegas wins, the Vegas market resolves to Yes; if Ottawa wins, the Ottawa market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. Should the game be cancelled or not started within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring an equitable outcome for all participants under these conditions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price movement suggests traders are closely evaluating team performance, player injuries, and upcoming matchups to refine their predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the NHL championship series, determining which team wins the Stanley Cup. The winning team will be determined by the official NHL standings and playoff results, and the outcome will be verified against widely available and trusted sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major player injuries to key players on any of the contending teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected upsets in the playoffs, or a team exceeding or underperforming expectations, could also drive price movements. Significant news regarding team coaching changes or internal dynamics could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, any updates regarding team strategies or player form leading up to and during the championship series could cause fluctuations in this market as traders react to the latest information.