TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total number of goals scored by both teams in an upcoming NHL game. Bettors predict whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty for achieving a 'Yes' outcome.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored by both teams in the Ottawa vs Philadelphia NHL game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Goals counted include those scored during regulation time and overtime, with shootout results contributing one goal to the winning team's total. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., Over 1.5, Over 2.5 goals, up to Over 9.5 goals), and resolves to 'Yes' only if the combined score exceeds that threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful data point when forming your own opinion on the likely outcome, and discrepancies between the two can sometimes present trading opportunities. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what it costs to take a position on a specific total goals result, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the final outcome. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Ottawa vs Philadelphia game will be the determining factor. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not. It’s important to monitor the game's progress as it nears completion to understand the potential resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Ottawa or Philadelphia teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Even late-breaking news about team strategies or goalie changes could influence trader sentiment. As the game approaches, any public statements from coaches or players about their expected approach to scoring could also move this market.