TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 9:43 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets determine whether either team wins by a margin exceeding specified goal differentials in the same Ottawa vs New Jersey NHL game on Oct 12, 2026. Victory margins are calculated using standard regulation and overtime goals only, with shootout goals counted as one goal for the winner.
Markets resolve based on whether New Jersey or Ottawa wins by a margin exceeding specified goal differentials in the NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. Winning margins are determined using goals scored during regulation and overtime; shootout results count as one goal awarded to the winning team. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the diverse opinions of informed traders. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, particularly if they diverge significantly from the prediction market price. It's always wise to compare both to identify potential opportunities, but remember that this market represents a unique perspective based on decentralized forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Ottawa versus New Jersey spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the expected spread. The current spread probability is influenced by factors like team performance, injuries, and recent game results.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Ottawa versus New Jersey game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the NHL, ensuring an objective and transparent determination. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The market’s final price will reflect the collective forecast of all participants.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Ottawa or New Jersey teams would likely cause price movement. Changes in starting goaltenders, updates on team strategies, or even significant weather conditions impacting travel could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news about team morale or coaching decisions could also shift perceptions. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the game’s outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.