TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming NHL game between Ottawa and Boston. It focuses on how many goals the winning team scores beyond the losing team, with different thresholds defining various outcomes. The resolution depends entirely on the official game result, accounting for possible schedule adjustments.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Ottawa vs Boston NHL game scheduled for October 5, 2026, with specific win-margin thresholds determining Yes outcomes. If Boston wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves Yes; if Boston wins by more than 1.5 goals, the second market resolves Yes. Conversely, if Ottawa wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves Yes, and if Ottawa wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves Yes. Postponements that commence within 48 hours of the original start time keep markets open for resolution based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of schedule changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of the game’s outcome. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available and public sentiment shifts closer to game time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the actual spread will be above or below the listed price. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people are buying contracts, the price goes up, indicating a stronger belief that the spread will be in that direction. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Ottawa vs Boston game, as reported by a major sports data provider, will determine whether buyers or sellers of contracts in this market win or lose. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Ottawa or Boston teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting game conditions, or even unexpected shifts in public perception based on pre-game analysis could all play a role. Major news events or announcements related to either team’s performance or internal dynamics could also cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.