TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:14 PM EST
Kalshi
The Ottawa Redblacks and Hamilton Tiger-Cats will compete in a CFL football game. Each market will resolve based on the margin of victory for either team, with varying thresholds defining a 'Yes' outcome.
Markets resolve based on the Ottawa Redblacks or Hamilton Tiger-Cats winning by specific point margins in their CFL game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the stated margin. All markets share identical secondary rules: Kalshi has no official affiliation with the CFL, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and specialized knowledge. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market aggregates the views of informed traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market may adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see convergence between the two as the event approaches, but discrepancies can still occur, presenting potential opportunities for arbitrage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final point spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by traders’ expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price gets to 50, the more uncertain the market is about the outcome. Traders are essentially betting on whether the actual point spread will be above or below the price displayed on Kalshi. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Ottawa Redblacks versus Hamilton Tiger-Cats game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the CFL, and the market will settle to 100 if the actual spread is greater than the contract price, or to 0 if it’s less. Traders holding contracts will receive a payout based on the final outcome relative to the price they paid or received for their contracts.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Ottawa Redblacks or the Hamilton Tiger-Cats would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced by either team could also move the market. Finally, any significant public information released regarding team morale or preparation could affect how traders assess the likely outcome of the game.