TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in the Czech First League. The result is determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The event considers three possible outcomes based on which team wins or if the match ends in a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Ostrava vs Sparta Prague professional Czech First League soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Ostrava wins, the 'Ostrava' market resolves to Yes. If Sparta Prague wins, the 'Sparta Prague' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood, driven by the collective intelligence of those trading it.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ostrava vs Sparta Prague match, as determined by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on that official data. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes might also play a role. Furthermore, public perception and analysis from sports commentators can impact trading activity. As the match date approaches, any updates or developments related to the teams involved have the potential to move this market significantly.