TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Osijek and Istra 1961 in Croatia's HNL league. Bettors can speculate on whether Osijek, Istra 1961, or a tied result will occur after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. The resolution depends strictly on the result within regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event involves determining the winner of a professional Croatia HNL soccer match between Osijek and Istra 1961 scheduled for October 10, 2026. Markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If Osijek secures a victory within regulation time, the 'Osijek' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Istra 1961 achieves a win within the same timeframe, the 'Istra 1961' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The resolution strictly considers the outcome within regular time, with no account for post-regulation proceedings.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs through trades. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert consensus. Examining these differences can reveal insights into how the crowd perceives the likelihood of various outcomes in the Osijek vs Istra 1961 match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Osijek vs Istra 1961 match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The highest bid represents what buyers are willing to pay, and the lowest ask represents what sellers are willing to accept, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism driven by supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Osijek vs Istra 1961 match, as officially recorded by sports authorities, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 10, 2026. News regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could all shift expectations. Unexpected announcements related to the Osijek or Istra 1961 teams, or even broader developments in the league, could trigger significant price movements. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.