TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match in Croatia's HNL league. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will secure a victory or if the game will end in a draw within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Osijek vs Gorica professional Croatia HNL soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Osijek market occurs if Osijek wins the match within regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Gorica market occurs if Gorica wins within regular time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends in a tie after regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution of these markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market aggregates individual predictions. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could suggest that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Osijek vs Gorica match. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Osijek vs Gorica match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time indication of expectations. The market’s depth and volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Osijek vs Gorica match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the verified result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact the odds. Unexpected announcements or significant shifts in public sentiment could also cause movement. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the Osijek vs Gorica match is key to understanding how this market might evolve.