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Oscars 2027: Best Casting Nominations
🌟New
polymarket

Which film will be nominated for Best Casting?

Oct 14, 2026, 9:21 AM EST - Mar 14, 2027, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$5,322
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$4,549
3%
Open interest:
$3,035N/A

The Odyssey

 - Polymarket

The Odyssey - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Mar 15, 2027

Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?

87%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 90¢ buys you 111 shares | Odds: 87% Total Payout: $111 | Net Profit: $11 Multiplier: 1.11x | ROI: 11% | APY: 29% Low liquidity 150 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

The Odyssey

Trade
87%
Yes 90¢No 25¢
15¢
$530
$2,289
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Wild Horse Nine

Trade
77%
Yes 78¢No 25¢
3¢
$148
$310
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

The Black Ball

Trade
74%
Yes 75¢No 28¢
3¢
$588
$899
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

The Debut

Trade
53%
Yes 57¢No 52¢
9¢
$127
$259
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Being Heumann

Trade
47%
Yes 49¢No 55¢
4¢
$422
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Dune: Part Three

Trade
46%
Yes 46¢No 97¢
43¢
$20
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

The Invite

Trade
33%
Yes 33¢No 68¢
1¢
$75
$180
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Obsession

Trade
27%
Yes 30¢No 77¢
7¢
$146
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Cry to Heaven

Trade
14%
Yes 16¢No 87¢
3¢
$380
$175
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Saturn Return

Trade
14%
Yes 15¢No 86¢
1¢
$497
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

All of a Sudden

Trade
13%
Yes 52¢No 94¢
46¢
$15
$310
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

UNABOMBER

Trade
6%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
$537
$332
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Clarissa

Trade
3%
Yes 4.7¢No 99¢
3.7¢
$130
$340
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Fjord

Trade
97%
Yes 97¢No 94¢
91¢
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Digger

Trade
96%
Yes 96¢No 94¢
90¢
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Michael

Trade
28%
Yes 28¢No 73¢
1¢
$900
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Project Hail Mary

Trade
80%
Yes 80¢No 93¢
73¢
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
Total markets: 17

Description

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Best Casting nominations market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how traders are pricing the likelihood of different potential nominees receiving a nomination. Currently, the total volume for this market is $5,322, with $5,259 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides insight into market activity and where traders are focusing their attention regarding potential Best Casting nominees.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts for the Best Casting nominations. While analysts often rely on critical reception and awards buzz, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are actively putting capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies between the two can highlight overlooked candidates or differing interpretations of the awards landscape. It's important to note that analyst predictions are often qualitative, while this market provides a quantifiable, real-time assessment of probabilities.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each potential nominee receiving a Best Casting nomination. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, reflecting the evolving expectations of traders. Higher demand for a particular nominee's shares will drive up the price, indicating increased confidence in their chances.

This market resolves around Mar 15, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the official nominations for the Best Casting category are announced by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences and are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100% for the nominees who are officially announced, and 0% for those who are not. Traders should monitor the official Academy Awards announcements to understand how this market will be resolved.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Early awards announcements from guilds like the Screen Actors Guild (SAG) are often strong indicators of Oscar potential. Critical reviews of films released in the qualifying period will also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected campaign pushes by studios for specific performances could shift the odds. Finally, any major industry news or controversies surrounding potential nominees could create volatility in this market leading up to the nomination announcements.