TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming La Liga match between Osasuna and Santander. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, reflecting the match's offensive intensity.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored during the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks, in the professional La Liga soccer game between Osasuna and Santander scheduled for October 18, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the aggregate goals surpass the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The markets are independent assessments of scoring volume, with each threshold representing a distinct predictive measure of the match's goal-scoring outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals incentivized to be accurate. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential outcomes of the Osasuna vs Santander match and the likelihood of different total goal scenarios.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as profitable trading relies on correctly predicting the event's outcome. The current price indicates what traders believe is the fair value of each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Osasuna vs Santander match, as officially recorded by the league, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure transparency and accuracy. Traders will be able to see the official result and how it aligns with their positions in the market following the match’s completion. The outcome will be determined by the official match statistics.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Osasuna or Santander would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking team news, such as starting lineups or tactical adjustments, could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert predictions regarding the match’s outcome could drive trading activity and alter the prices in this market.