TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a soccer match between two teams in a league competition. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score a goal during the regular playing time, which includes any added stoppage time but excludes any extra time or penalty shootout periods. The focus is solely on the scoring activity of the teams within the standard match duration.
If Osasuna and Santander both score a goal in the Osasuna vs Santander La Liga match originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of traders and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s price is driven purely by supply and demand. If a significant number of traders believe both teams will score, the price will move accordingly, potentially diverging from sportsbook offerings. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event date. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of both Osasuna and Santander scoring in their match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Osasuna and Santander score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from recognized sports data providers will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The market will then settle based on this verified outcome, with payouts distributed to contract holders accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Osasuna or Santander would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly those impacting offensive play, could also affect trader sentiment. Additionally, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches revealed before the match might shift expectations. Even public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.