TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 4:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams competing in an official league. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match as scheduled. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will follow specific guidelines to determine how the market concludes.
If Antibes Sharks wins the Orleans Loiret Basket vs Antibes Sharks men's professional LNB Elite 2 basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026 at 2:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Orleans Loiret Basket wins the Orleans Loiret Basket vs Antibes Sharks men's professional LNB Elite 2 basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026 at 2:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market’s odds are determined by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the price in this market will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded, as the market incorporates information differently than traditional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders participate, the price tends to become more efficient, incorporating a wider range of information and opinions about the upcoming game.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Orleans Loiret Basket versus Antibes Sharks game in the French basketball league. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual game result. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant performance shifts could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Furthermore, general news about the teams or the league, as well as broader basketball news, could all contribute to price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the implied probabilities.