TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Orlando and New York City. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the competitive nature of the sport and the strategies teams employ to either score or defend effectively.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total goals scored in the Orlando versus New York City professional MLS soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different goal threshold—ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals—all assessed after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the cumulative goals meet or exceed its specified threshold. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the MLS or its governing bodies, and all league-related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. This mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive pricing system, influenced by a wide range of opinions and analyses.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Orlando vs New York City match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the league or governing body responsible for the match. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The market will then close, and all outstanding contracts will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Orlando or New York City would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Furthermore, team form leading up to the match, tactical adjustments, and even pre-game analysis from sports commentators could all contribute to shifts in market sentiment and price fluctuations.