TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:44 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional soccer teams compete in a match where the outcome depends on the margin of victory. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will dominate by a specific number of goals or more.
All markets resolve based on the official result of the Orlando vs New York City MLS game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A market resolves to Yes if Orlando wins by more than 2.5 goals, Orlando wins by more than 1.5 goals, New York City wins by more than 1.5 goals, or New York City wins by more than 2.5 goals. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of the outcome, though discrepancies can and do occur. It's common to see prediction markets reflect public sentiment and potentially identify inefficiencies in sportsbook pricing, offering a unique view on the likely result of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is determined solely by supply and demand from users on Kalshi, and does not directly correlate to external factors or other markets.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Orlando vs New York City game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the relevant sports league, and will determine whether Orlando won by more than the spread, or New York City won by less than the spread. The outcome will be determined by the official result, and any adjustments made by the league will be reflected in the final resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries for either Orlando or New York City would likely cause movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news about either team's strategy or key player availability would likely lead to shifts in the market as traders adjust their expectations based on the latest information.