TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Orlando and New York City. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the match within regular time, or if the game will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Orlando vs New York City professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for Orlando or New York City markets occurs if the respective team wins the match in regular time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score after regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when there's significant public interest or uncertainty surrounding the outcome. These differences can stem from varying levels of information access or differing interpretations of available data. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, creating a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. Trading volume and order flow are key indicators of market confidence.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Orlando vs New York City match, as determined by the governing sports league or organization. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team performance, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors affecting the match could also play a role. Major announcements related to the teams involved, such as contract extensions or player trades, could also shift probabilities. Monitoring sports news, team updates, and expert analysis will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before Oct 25, 2026.