TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Orlando wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Orlando wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 05d:00h:14m
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This set of markets evaluates different margin-based outcomes for an upcoming professional soccer match between Orlando and New England. Each market focuses on whether one team secures a victory by a specific goal differential threshold. The resolution depends solely on the regulation time score, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential between Orlando and New England in their professional MLS soccer match scheduled for November 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regulation time only). Outcomes are determined exclusively by the final score at the end of regulation, with no consideration for extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation events. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins by the exact margin indicated in each respective market rule—either more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals. All markets share the same underlying event and time frame, ensuring consistency in the scoring window used for resolution. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the opinions of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market represents the aggregate beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the market believes the true probability lies, compared to traditional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates the market’s expectation of how many goals New England will win by, relative to Orlando.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Orlando vs New England game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official spread—the difference in final scores—between the two teams. The market will determine which side, Orlando or New England, correctly predicted the spread. Traders holding the winning contracts will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or strategic shifts could lead to rapid price adjustments. Monitoring these signals and how the market reacts to them is crucial for informed trading.