TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Orlando and DC United. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of various scoring outcomes. The resolution depends solely on the official match result after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Orlando vs DC United professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but explicitly excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market has a specific threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals exceed the respective threshold, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets share the same underlying event and time constraints, ensuring consistency across thresholds. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as both sources attempt to forecast the same outcome – the total goals scored in the Orlando vs DC United match – but through different mechanisms and with varying levels of public input.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Orlando vs DC United match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if the actual total goals match the contract's specified value.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Orlando vs DC United match, as officially recorded by the league, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the final score, including any goals scored during regulation time or added time, but excluding penalty shootouts. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while others will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before the Oct 18, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Orlando or DC United would likely have a significant impact, as this affects the expected goal-scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the game and, consequently, the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team tactics or formations could shift expectations and lead to price adjustments in this market.