TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Orlando and DC United. The result depends solely on who wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game ends with both teams level, it is considered a tie.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Orlando vs DC United MLS soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026: Orlando win, DC United win, or Tie. A market resolves to Yes only if the specified outcome occurs within the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded from consideration. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the MLS or its governing bodies.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by actual trading, tends to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by participants. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts based on the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information access, or risk appetites between prediction market traders and sportsbook customers.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Orlando vs DC United match will be used to determine the winning contract. This includes the official scoreline as reported by the league and any subsequent rulings that affect the match's final outcome. The market will settle to 100, representing the outcome that occurs, and 0 for all other possibilities. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. News regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions affecting the match location could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any major announcements related to team performance, coaching changes, or even pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators could sway trader sentiment. The overall trading volume and the direction of price movements will provide valuable insights into how these signals are being interpreted by the market.