TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 9:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Cleveland or Orlando will win a professional basketball game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Currently, the probability of Cleveland winning on Kalshi is 92.0%, while Orlando winning is at 7.0%. The market will resolve based on the official outcome of the Orlando vs Cleveland Pro Basketball game, as determined by the game’s final score. Traders should watch for the official result following the game on October 11, 2026, as the market is scheduled to resolve on October 12, 2026, the day after the game is originally scheduled.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Pro Basketball game between Orlando and Cleveland scheduled for October 11, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. This difference can be due to varying levels of information access, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions among bettors and traders. It's a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Orlando versus Cleveland game will be used to determine the winning contract. The market will settle based on which team is officially declared the winner of the game according to official league results. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in prior games, or significant media coverage surrounding either team can also impact the odds. Major announcements related to team strategy or player availability are likely to cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand how the market is reacting to new information and potentially identify trading opportunities.