TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 4:12 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-28 23:30 UTC: If the Orlando Magic win, the market will resolve to "Orlando Magic". If the Toronto Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-28 23:30 UTC: If the Orlando Magic win, the market will resolve to "Orlando Magic". If the Toronto Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant difference exists, it could indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts regarding the game’s likely result.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. Conversely, if traders believe an outcome is unlikely, the price will fall. This dynamic pricing ensures the market continuously adjusts to new information and reflects the latest predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Orlando Magic versus Toronto Raptors game. The winning team, as officially declared, will determine the outcome of this market. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Magic or the Raptors would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also shift the odds. Furthermore, general news coverage and public sentiment surrounding the teams’ performance, as well as any late-breaking information about player health or availability, could all contribute to changes in this market.