TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 6:42 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-08 00:00 UTC: If the Orlando Magic win, the market will resolve to "Orlando Magic". If the Memphis Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Memphis Grizzlies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-08 00:00 UTC: If the Orlando Magic win, the market will resolve to "Orlando Magic". If the Memphis Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Memphis Grizzlies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the result. As a result, the implied probabilities from this market can sometimes be more accurate than traditional sportsbook lines, although discrepancies can occur due to differing information and risk assessments. It's useful to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and information, leading to a dynamic and evolving price. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of the game's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Orlando Magic versus Memphis Grizzlies game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The specific outcome that determines resolution will be the final game result, including any overtime periods. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified outcome of the game.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Magic or the Grizzlies would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even pre-game reports about player matchups could also influence trader behavior. Major news events impacting the NBA as a whole could have a broader effect. As the game approaches, any updates on player availability or team strategies will be closely watched and quickly reflected in the market's price.