TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:30 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Orlando City SC and New York City FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Orlando City SC" if Orlando City SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "New York City FC" if New York City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Orlando City SC and New York City FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Orlando City SC" if Orlando City SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "New York City FC" if New York City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception or promotional offers, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering their own capital. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may signal an opportunity for arbitrage—where traders can profit by exploiting the difference in pricing between the two. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each outcome. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people bet on a particular team to score first, the price of that outcome increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time. The current implied probability of either team scoring first is visible on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Orlando City vs. NYCFC match. Any goals scored during regular play, stoppage time, or extra time will be considered, but penalty shootouts will not factor into the resolution. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Orlando City or NYCFC would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the perceived likelihood of each team scoring first. Additionally, any pre-match announcements about tactical changes or team formations could influence trader behavior and move the market. Unexpected news regarding team morale or coaching decisions could also play a role.