TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:17h:58m
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This prediction market group focuses on various spread and over/under outcomes for the Orlando City SC vs. New England Revolution MLS game on November 7th. Markets cover win margins (spreads) and total goals scored (over/unders) for the entire game and for individual halves.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for November 7 at 4:00 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for November 7 at 4:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow participants to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. However, both aim to accurately predict the probability of an event, and arbitrage opportunities can arise when significant differences exist between the two.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict can differ due to a variety of factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to distinct market interpretations. Trading mechanisms also play a role; Polymarket uses a continuous double auction, while Predict may employ different order types or liquidity pools. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform influences price discovery, and differing levels of volume can result in price discrepancies. These factors contribute to the dynamic pricing observed across prediction markets.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Orlando City vs. New England match will be used to determine the winning prediction. The specific details of the match, such as the final score and any relevant statistics, will be sourced from official league data and widely recognized sports news outlets to ensure accuracy and transparency. The outcome will be determined based on the official result of the game.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 7, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Orlando City or New England Revolution would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also influence trader sentiment. Even external factors like weather conditions on match day, or significant news regarding team management, have the potential to move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams' relative strengths will likely be reflected in the market prices.