TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction group covers various markets related to the Orlando City SC vs. D.C. United SC MLS game, including spread betting and over/under goals scored, both for the entire match and for specific halves. The markets are designed to predict the outcome of the game based on the final score.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 17 at 7:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 17 at 7:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing risk, while prediction markets are driven by individuals incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market’s odds can be influenced by factors not immediately captured by sportsbook algorithms, such as late-breaking news or subtle shifts in public sentiment. Comparing these odds can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket may attract more sophisticated traders with access to specialized information, leading to more efficient price discovery, while Predict might have a broader, less informed user base. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform—currently $140,867 total—impact how quickly prices react to new information. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies in this market.