TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Orlando City SC vs. CF Montréal MLS match scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss) and total goals scored, with consistent resolution windows across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical temporal scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and reference official MLS Soccer results as the authoritative source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official MLS Soccer (mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores)Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome resolves based on final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Polymarket outcome markets (Orlando win, Montreal win, draw) resolve Yes/No based on match result within regulation time
- Kalshi goal total markets resolve Yes if combined goals exceed specified thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, or 4.5) within regulation time
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from all resolution criteria
- Postponed matches remain open until completion; canceled matches without makeup resolve No for outcome markets and No for goal threshold markets
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed and official results are published
- Cancellation without makeup: Outcome markets (win/draw/loss) resolve No; goal threshold markets resolve No
- Extra time or penalties: Explicitly excluded from resolution; only 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts
- Goal threshold boundaries: Kalshi markets use strict greater-than thresholds (e.g., more than 3.5 means 4 or more goals); exactly 3 goals resolves No for the 3.5 market
Timing:
Resolution occurs after final whistle of 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 14, 2026, once official MLS Soccer results are publishedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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