TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 8:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in a specific baseball game between the Orix Buffaloes and Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of scoring intensity for evaluation.
The event evaluates whether the combined runs scored by the Orix Buffaloes and Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles in their NPB game scheduled for October 3, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT, exceed specified thresholds of 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. Each threshold represents a distinct market, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the total runs surpass the respective threshold. All markets are independent, and the resolution is based solely on the final scored runs from the game as officially recorded. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of a diverse group of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially be more influenced by expert analysis, this market can quickly incorporate a wider range of factors and potentially offer a more accurate forecast of the final outcome of the Orix vs Rakuten game.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total runs scored in the Orix Buffaloes versus Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles game will be the determining factor. Official game statistics from a recognized sports data provider will be used to establish the total runs scored, and this will be the basis for determining which side of the market resolves positively. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Orix Buffaloes or the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles would likely cause significant movement. Weather conditions at the game location could also play a role, as rain or wind can affect scoring. Furthermore, any late-breaking analysis from baseball experts or shifts in public sentiment could impact the price of contracts in this market, reflecting evolving expectations about the total runs scored.