TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$245,601,049

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,405,322

408,349

Markets across

39,583

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,443

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Orix Buffaloes vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Orix Buffaloes vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles?

Volume:
$3,954

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 8:10 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,510
N/A
N/A
$1,510
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins by over 2.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,491
N/A
N/A
$1,490
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$579
N/A
N/A
$579
Settled
No
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$374
N/A
N/A
$374
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming baseball game between two teams. It focuses on whether either team will secure a win by a specific number of runs, reflecting the competitive balance expected in the matchup.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different run-differential thresholds for determining a winner in a specific baseball game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered, each corresponding to a particular run margin: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles winning by over 2.5 runs, Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles winning by over 1.5 runs, Orix Buffaloes winning by over 1.5 runs, and Orix Buffaloes winning by over 2.5 runs. The market resolves positively ('Yes') if the actual game result meets or exceeds the specified run-differential threshold for any of these four conditions. If none of the thresholds are met — meaning the game is decided by exactly 1 run, exactly 2 runs, or the opposite team wins — the market resolves negatively ('No'). All markets are independent of official league affiliations, and trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NPB spread market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likelihood of the Orix Buffaloes winning by over 1.5 runs against the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles. The current volume is $2,832, and the total volume traded to date is $3,954. This allows you to see how sentiment shifts over time and identify potential trading opportunities within this specific market.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives as traders buy and sell contracts. If sportsbooks initially favor the Orix Buffaloes, it’s possible to see a different probability assigned by traders in this market, especially as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, injuries, or even weather conditions.

This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score difference between the Orix Buffaloes and the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles will determine whether the Orix Buffaloes won by over 1.5 runs. The resolution will be based on official game results and statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final result.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in the starting lineups for either the Orix Buffaloes or the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles would likely cause movement. Significant weather forecasts impacting the game, such as heavy rain potentially leading to a postponement, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any major shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' chances of winning could influence trading activity and, consequently, the market price.