TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a professional soccer match in Sweden's Allsvenskan league between Orgryte and GAIS. The result is determined exclusively by the standings after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalties.
The market resolves based on the result of the Orgryte vs GAIS professional Allsvenskan soccer game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Orgryte wins, the 'Orgryte' market resolves to Yes. If GAIS wins, the 'GAIS' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast of events than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incentivizing participants to make well-informed predictions. While sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from margins, this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs. However, sportsbook odds can still offer a useful point of comparison, and significant discrepancies may present opportunities for arbitrage. It’s important to consider both sources when forming your own assessment of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price represents the cost to acquire a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome is realized. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event’s outcome and trading contracts at favorable prices.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Orgryte vs GAIS match, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. The market’s resolution is dependent on a clear and verifiable result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 18, 2026. News regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could all shift expectations and impact the price of contracts. Unexpected announcements or developments related to either team could also trigger significant movement. Furthermore, large trades by individual participants or groups could temporarily influence prices, though the market typically self-corrects as more information becomes available. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in market sentiment.