TOTAL VOLUME:

$138.5b

24H VOL:

$107,983,626

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,511,311,155

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,548,874,187

473,242

Markets across

36,541

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,900

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Oregon vs. USC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Oregon vs USC?

Volume:
$22,718,335

Oregon

 - Kalshi

Oregon - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 11:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oregon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,863,469
N/A
N/A
$3,961,586
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Oregon vs. USC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,713,816
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$356,671
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 60.5

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$193,015
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 62.5

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$84,601
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 58.5

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$67,676
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$47,182
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25,772
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 54.5

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25,032
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21,563
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 50.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21,003
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 64.5

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$18,775
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$17,585
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,364
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 52.5

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,348
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,092
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 48.5

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,582
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,845
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 66.5

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,978
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,131
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,428
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Moneyline

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,967
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,068
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 56.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$571
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 46.5

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$475
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 216

Intro

This market tracks the total number of 4th down conversions—over or under 0.5—in the Oregon vs. USC college football game. Currently, the consensus probability favors over 0.5 conversions at 100.0%. This aggregate reflects predictions from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on data reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on team offensive strategies and early game performance as the game is scheduled for September 26th, which will be key indicators of potential 4th down attempts.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves if *either* team wins, while Polymarket specifies the winning team. This creates a SKU risk as Kalshi doesn't differentiate between Oregon and USC winning.Hero tip: If you believe the game will happen, Kalshi offers a simple way to bet on that. If you have a strong opinion on *who* will win, Polymarket is the better choice.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Oregon' if Oregon wins, 'USC' if USC wins, and 50-50 if the game ends in a tie. "This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game. This market will resolve to "USC" if USC win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Oregon or USC wins. "If USC wins the Oregon vs USC college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oregon wins the Oregon vs USC college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Oregon and USC, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game. This market will resolve to "USC" if USC win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the Oregon vs USC college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the Oregon vs. USC game. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly than sportsbooks in response to significant news or shifts in public opinion. Comparing the two can provide a more nuanced view of the likely outcome.