TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Ohio St. wins by over 1.5 points
- Kalshi
Ohio St. wins by over 1.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 05d:02h:17m
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This set of markets tracks the potential margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to pay out.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Oregon vs Ohio St. college football game scheduled for Nov 7, 2026. If Ohio St. wins by exceeding the specified point differential listed in the market title, that market resolves to Yes; if Oregon wins by exceeding its listed differential, that market resolves to Yes. If neither team meets their respective threshold, all markets resolve to No. For games postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the outcome.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract balanced betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and insights that haven’t fully impacted traditional sportsbook odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Oregon vs Ohio State game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the game's expected outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Oregon vs Ohio State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. The final point difference will be compared to the various contract spreads offered on Kalshi to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual spread will receive a payout.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Oregon or Ohio State would likely cause a shift in the spread. Unexpected changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on a particular spread – could indicate informed opinion and trigger price adjustments. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also contribute to movements in this market.