TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of points scored in the final quarter of a college football game between Oregon and Illinois. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that bettors can evaluate. The outcome depends solely on the combined points scored by both teams during that specific period.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Oregon vs Illinois college football game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For all markets, only points scored in the 4th quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. However, discrepancies can exist due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each venue. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the total points scored in the 4th quarter falling below that value. For example, a contract priced at 50 means traders believe there is a 50% chance the total will be 50 or less. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Oregon vs Illinois game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the 4th quarter will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a total below the actual score will settle at $100, while those predicting a total above the actual score will settle at $0. The final result will be based on official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Oregon or Illinois would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception or betting trends, as reflected in sportsbook odds, could influence trader behavior and move the price. Game-day performance and in-game adjustments will also play a role as the 4th quarter approaches.