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24H VOL:
$228,458,490
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming college football game between Oregon and Illinois, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game. This market will resolve to "Illinois" if Illinois win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Oregon and Illinois, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game. This market will resolve to "Illinois" if Illinois win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and often include a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially when there’s significant public information available, though discrepancies can occur due to differing risk assessments and motivations between bettors and traders.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share of the potential payout if their predicted outcome comes to pass. The market’s efficiency depends on the volume of trading and the information available to participants.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Oregon vs. Illinois game, as officially reported by a recognized sports data source, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and fair settlement for all participants. Traders will then receive payouts based on their holdings in the winning contract.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could all shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team dynamics or key player availability are likely to cause significant price movements. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market often incorporates this information more efficiently than traditional sources. Any significant development related to the Oregon vs. Illinois game has the potential to impact trading activity.