TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Oregon or Illinois will win their college football game scheduled for October 23, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Oregon a 60.0% probability of winning, while Illinois is at 41.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Oregon vs Illinois college football game, as determined by the official result of the match. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 23, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves based on the result of the Oregon vs Illinois college football game scheduled for October 23, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final, official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, the market will resolve to a fair price, reflecting the absence of a definitive outcome. These rules ensure that typical delays do not disrupt market resolution, while cancellations lead to an equitable settlement.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. As a result, you may find discrepancies between the two. Generally, prediction markets are considered highly accurate, sometimes even more so than traditional polls or expert analyses, as they incentivize participants to express their true beliefs. It's worth comparing the odds to see how public sentiment aligns with professional expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, creating a constantly evolving assessment of the Oregon vs Illinois game's likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Oregon vs Illinois game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market price of their contracts. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the game's result.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other games involving these teams, or significant media coverage influencing public perception, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large-volume trades on Kalshi by informed traders might indicate new information or a change in outlook, prompting others to adjust their positions. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves.