TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 8:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the likelihood of Oregon State exceeding 0.5 total 4th down conversions in their game against Colorado State. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi is 100.0% for Oregon State vs. Colorado State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5, while Oregon State vs. Colorado State: Game Goes to Overtime is at 19.0%. Resolution will be determined by data reported on https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 3rd, as the final 4th down conversion count will dictate the outcome.
In the upcoming college football game between Oregon State and Colorado State, scheduled for October 3 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oregon State" if Oregon State win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado State" if Colorado State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the college football game originally scheduled for October 3, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
In the upcoming college football game between Oregon State and Colorado State, scheduled for October 3 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oregon State" if Oregon State win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado State" if Colorado State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous order book, while Kalshi uses a different mechanism for determining probabilities. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This difference in mechanics can lead to price variations, even when both platforms are tracking the same event. Additionally, each platform attracts a different pool of traders with varying expertise and information. Market sentiment and the flow of funds can also differ between Polymarket and Kalshi, contributing to the observed price discrepancies. The current volume of $961,978 indicates active trading on this event.