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Oregon St. vs Fresno St.: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Oregon St. vs Fresno St.?

Volume:
$5,010,790

Fresno St. wins by over 5.5 points

 - Kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 5.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 1:34 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 5.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$495,501
N/A
N/A
$152,492
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 14.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$288,088
N/A
N/A
$112,669
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$92,133
N/A
N/A
$54,845
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 11.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$87,954
N/A
N/A
$49,793
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 13.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$73,936
N/A
N/A
$32,326
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$71,845
N/A
N/A
$43,463
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65,370
N/A
N/A
$35,431
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65,075
N/A
N/A
$33,227
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 9.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$64,449
N/A
N/A
$30,020
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 7.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$63,068
N/A
N/A
$38,750
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 4.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50,523
N/A
N/A
$32,309
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 10.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47,256
N/A
N/A
$24,446
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oregon St. wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,330,390
N/A
N/A
$858,135
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon St. wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$345,020
N/A
N/A
$179,560
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon St. wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$332,022
N/A
N/A
$251,615
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$319,362
N/A
N/A
$158,979
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 20.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$247,569
N/A
N/A
$128,296
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon St. wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$168,146
N/A
N/A
$114,557
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon St. wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150,327
N/A
N/A
$81,713
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon St. wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$107,150
N/A
N/A
$81,034
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon St. wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83,693
N/A
N/A
$53,396
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 23.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$81,744
N/A
N/A
$56,277
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon St. wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80,186
N/A
N/A
$60,249
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon St. wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,067
N/A
N/A
$45,794
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon St. wins by over 11.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66,411
N/A
N/A
$60,435
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 36

Intro

This market asks whether Fresno State will win their college football game against Oregon State by more than 5.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Fresno State winning by over 5.5 points. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Oregon State vs Fresno State game originally scheduled for October 31, 2026, as determined by the final score reported by official sources. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Oregon State wins by more than 27.5 points, and the resolution date estimate is November 1, 2026.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Oregon St. vs Fresno St. college football game scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. If Oregon St. wins by exceeding the specified point differential listed in the market title, that market resolves to Yes; if Fresno St. wins by exceeding its listed differential, that corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final outcome. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning payouts are adjusted to reflect the probability of outcomes based on available information at the time of cancellation.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Oregon State-Fresno State spread tracks the continuously updating odds reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on either team covering the spread. You can view the current price, the 24-hour trading volume of $4,747,088, and the total volume traded to date, which is currently $5,003,353. This allows you to see how sentiment is shifting as new information becomes available. The dashboard provides a real-time view of the market’s expectations for the game’s outcome.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives. Sportsbooks, while employing sophisticated models, are still subject to biases and limitations in their analysis. However, it's important to note that initial odds on Kalshi may differ from those found at sportsbooks, and discrepancies can emerge based on differing levels of information and market participation. This market reflects the collective forecast of informed traders.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Oregon State will cover the spread against Fresno State. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by traders’ willingness to pay or receive for each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a probability-weighted expectation of the actual result. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its forecast accordingly.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the final, official result of the Oregon State versus Fresno State football game, specifically whether Oregon State covers the spread as defined by official sports sources. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected weather forecasts for the game day could also play a role, as could major shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in conviction, causing the price to move. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding the evolving dynamics of this market.