TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:37 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter of a college football game. Bettors can speculate on whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends solely on in-game performance during a specific period.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the third quarter of the designated game. Points from any other quarter or overtime periods are excluded. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result of that game. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The resolution hinges exclusively on third-quarter scoring, with no consideration for subsequent game events or adjustments.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s price is driven purely by supply and demand from traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different costs and risk profiles, which can contribute to these differences.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the third quarter of the Oregon State vs Fresno State football game will be used to determine the winning contract. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the definitive source for the final point total. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the actual result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Oregon State or Fresno State would likely have a significant impact, as it affects the teams’ scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first and second quarters could lead traders to reassess their probabilities, causing the market to react accordingly. Unexpected coaching decisions or significant momentum swings could also contribute to price movements.