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Oregon St. vs Fresno St.: 3rd Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Oregon St. vs Fresno St.?

Volume:
$66,818

Fresno St. wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 1:37 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,321
N/A
N/A
$9,506
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,244
N/A
N/A
$5,867
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,494
N/A
N/A
$4,325
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 7.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,047
N/A
N/A
$2,513
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oregon St. wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,146
N/A
N/A
$6,518
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,059
N/A
N/A
$9,769
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon St. wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,757
N/A
N/A
$2,531
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon St. wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,339
N/A
N/A
$872
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon St. wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$298
N/A
N/A
$296
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon St. wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
$61
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a specific segment of a college football game between Oregon State and Fresno State. It centers exclusively on performance during the third quarter, measuring whether one team gains a decisive lead over the other within that period.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of the Oregon State versus Fresno State college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Oregon State wins by more than the specified point margin (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points), or if Fresno State wins by more than the specified point margin (also ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points), as defined per each individual market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point-differential thresholds listed.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Oregon State vs Fresno State spread tracks the current price of contracts representing whether Fresno State will win the 3rd quarter by more than 3.5 points. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has fluctuated, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $51,960. The total volume traded on this market to date is $56,651. This allows traders to see how confidence in either outcome is shifting and gauge overall interest in the event.

Generally, prediction markets and sportsbooks often arrive at similar probabilities, but they do so through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the market absorbs information and adjusts. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the likely result of the Oregon State vs Fresno State game.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Fresno State will win the 3rd quarter by over 3.5 points. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. Currently, the most actively traded outcome is Fresno State winning the 3rd quarter by over 3.5 points.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 3rd quarter of the Oregon State vs Fresno State football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, and the market will pay out to those who correctly predicted whether Fresno State wins the 3rd quarter by more than 3.5 points. The final score will be the determining factor for settlement.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either the Oregon State or Fresno State teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about team strategies or coaching decisions could affect trader sentiment and lead to price adjustments. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators may also play a role in shaping the market’s direction.