TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 12:37 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of points scored by both teams combined in the first half of an upcoming college football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that bettors can evaluate.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first half of the Oregon St. vs Fresno St. college football game scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold for each market. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result remains valid. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points from the first half count, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own informed opinions. Initial sportsbook odds may be heavily influenced by public perception and biases, whereas this market tends to converge towards a more accurate probability as more information becomes available and more traders participate. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing information access and risk tolerance between prediction market participants and sportsbook bettors.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first half of the Oregon State versus Fresno State game will be used to determine whether the total points scored were over or under the specified value. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Oregon State or Fresno State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might cause traders to reassess their predictions. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself could shift prices, especially if they indicate strong conviction from informed traders.