TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, enabling a range of betting options based on expected performance.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Oregon St. vs Colorado St. college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If Oregon St. wins by the exact margin specified in a market's title, that market does not resolve as 'Yes'—it must exceed the threshold. Markets are evaluated individually; a 'Yes' outcome for one does not affect others. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve per the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, typically based on prevailing odds or agreement between parties, ensuring equitable treatment amid unforeseen disruptions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading contracts based on their own beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to impactful news than sportsbooks, as traders can immediately adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven entirely by supply and demand within Kalshi, offering a dynamic and real-time assessment of the game's likely outcome based on the collective intelligence of its users.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Oregon State-Colorado State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by relevant sports authorities. Traders holding contracts on the winning spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing spread will forfeit their investment. The final result will be determined by the actual on-field performance of the teams.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Oregon State or Colorado State would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather forecasts could also influence trader sentiment. Major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by influential sports analysts, could also play a role. Any developments that alter the perceived competitive balance between the two teams have the potential to move the spread and trading volume in this market.