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410,482
Markets across
40,213
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:31 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many points Oregon State and Colorado State will score together in the final quarter of their upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold, determining whether the combined fourth-quarter scoring exceeds that level.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by both teams during the fourth quarter of the designated college football game, with overtime points excluded. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the combined fourth-quarter points surpass the specified threshold for each market. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, betting continues and resolves based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting the likelihood of the outcome had the game been played as scheduled.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can reveal interesting insights into how different groups perceive the likelihood of various outcomes in the Oregon State vs Colorado State game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect new information and changing expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if the specified outcome—over or under 5.5 points in the 4th quarter—is realized. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter of the Oregon State vs Colorado State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, determining whether the total points scored in the 4th quarter exceeded 5.5 or not. All contracts will be settled based on this verified result, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to contract holders. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Significant in-game events, such as key player injuries, scoring drives, or defensive stops, could all shift trader sentiment. Changes in the overall game tempo or strategic adjustments by either team could also impact expectations for the 4th quarter total. Unexpected weather conditions, if any, might also play a role. Furthermore, any news or updates regarding player availability or team strategies could lead to fluctuations in the market price as traders react to new information.