TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 8:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter of a college football game. Bettors can speculate on whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends solely on in-game performance during a specific period.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the third quarter of the Oregon St. vs Colorado St. college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. Each market has a different threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points) that determines a 'Yes' outcome if exceeded. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward resolution, and Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many participants. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between the two, as sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages or promotional considerations. Over time, the prediction market price tends to converge with the implied probability suggested by sportsbook lines, though differences can persist due to varying information and risk assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the Oregon State vs Colorado State game will be over or under 10.5. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater belief that the 'Over' outcome will occur. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 3rd quarter of the Oregon State vs Colorado State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics available from sports data providers. The market will settle to 100 if the total points scored in the 3rd quarter are over 10.5, and to 0 if the total points scored are under 10.5. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Oregon State or Colorado State would likely cause movement, as this impacts expected scoring. Live game developments during the first half, such as a dominant offensive performance by one team, could also shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also play a role. Finally, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.