TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to speculate on whether the combined score will exceed specific values.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the Oregon St. versus Colorado St. college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold for each respective market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the actual first-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on various factors, including team statistics and expert analysis, but may be influenced by biases or the need to balance action on both sides. This market allows participants to express their own informed opinions, leading to a potentially more refined assessment of the likely outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both prediction markets and sportsbooks have their own strengths and weaknesses, and discrepancies can exist.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 1st quarter total points. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top market is for Over 12.5 1Q points scored, and the price reflects the collective assessment of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the first quarter of the Oregon State vs Colorado State football game will be used to determine whether the 'Over' or 'Under' contract wins. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the official result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Oregon State or Colorado State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact expectations. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could signal shifts in sentiment and move the market accordingly.