TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of a college football game between Oregon State and Colorado State. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory for either team within that initial 15-minute period.
These markets resolve based solely on the point difference in the first quarter of the designated Oregon State vs Colorado State college football game. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team wins by more than the indicated point margin during that quarter. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the first 15 minutes of play, disregarding any scoring in subsequent quarters. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original schedule, the markets remain active and resolve according to the actual first-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price rather than a definitive win/loss outcome. The markets cover varying thresholds of victory for both teams, allowing participants to speculate on different potential scoring scenarios within the opening quarter.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that traders perceive a different probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result of the game.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the first quarter spread of the Oregon State vs Colorado State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive nothing. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Oregon State or Colorado State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's conditions, could also play a role. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might shift trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.