TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Orange County and Phoenix Rising. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated match time.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Orange County vs Phoenix Rising USL Championship game scheduled for October 17, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes of regulation time plus any added stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from the count. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total exceeds that threshold. The rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can provide valuable insight into how the crowd perceives the likelihood of various outcomes in the Orange County vs Phoenix Rising match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Contracts are priced between 0 and 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the current consensus view of traders on Kalshi regarding the total goals scored in the Orange County vs Phoenix Rising match, and is constantly adjusting based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total goals scored in the Orange County vs Phoenix Rising match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a transparent and accurate outcome for all participants in this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the event concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Orange County or Phoenix Rising teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions that might affect the style of play, or even late-breaking news about team tactics, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, could lead to changes in the perceived probability of different goal totals in the Orange County vs Phoenix Rising match.