TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Orange County vs Phoenix Rising: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Orange County vs Phoenix Rising?

Volume:
$10,354

Phoenix Rising wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Phoenix Rising wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 12:06 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Phoenix Rising wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,237
N/A
N/A
$1,217
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Phoenix Rising wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,801
N/A
N/A
$1,570
Settled
No
kalshi

Phoenix Rising wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$511
N/A
N/A
$511
Settled
No
kalshi

Orange County wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$505
N/A
N/A
$505
Settled
No
kalshi

Orange County wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Orange County and Phoenix Rising, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential between Orange County and Phoenix Rising in their scheduled USL Championship game on October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: Orange County winning by more than 2.5 goals, Orange County winning by more than 1.5 goals, Phoenix Rising winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Phoenix Rising winning by more than 2.5 goals. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the specific condition that is met, with the largest goal differential taking precedence if multiple conditions are satisfied. All resolutions exclude extra time and penalty phases, focusing solely on regular time results. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Orange County vs Phoenix Rising match tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes for the spread. You can view the price history, which shows how the market has fluctuated over time, and the 24-hour volume, indicating how much trading activity has occurred recently. Currently, the total volume for this market is $10,354, with $8,800 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where traders stand on the likely result of the match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can be more sensitive to late-breaking news or shifts in public sentiment. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome of the Orange County vs Phoenix Rising match.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Orange County vs Phoenix Rising match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the likely result.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread of the Orange County vs Phoenix Rising match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine which contracts payout. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome based on the actual results of the match.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Orange County or Phoenix Rising teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these types of events will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market and capitalize on new information as it becomes available.