TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:02 AM EST
Kalshi
In an upcoming USL Championship soccer match between Orange County and Phoenix Rising, this event tracks whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the offensive performance of both clubs within the standard match duration, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
If Orange County and Phoenix Rising both score a goal in the Orange County vs Phoenix Rising USL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines, which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of both teams scoring. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate forecasts than traditional betting odds, as they aggregate information from a diverse range of participants. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison, especially before significant trading activity occurs.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Both Teams to Score' in the Orange County vs Phoenix Rising match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market, and it will fluctuate until the event concludes.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome determined by whether both the Orange County and Phoenix Rising teams score at least one goal during the match. The result will be verified against credible public reporting of the match statistics. The final market price will reflect the actual occurrence of both teams scoring, with a price close to 100 indicating 'Yes' (both teams score) and a price close to 0 indicating 'No' (one or both teams fail to score). Traders holding contracts will be paid out or required to pay based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Orange County or Phoenix Rising would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of high-scoring or low-scoring games, could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, particularly if they are expected to favor one team's style of play, could contribute to price movement. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis or expert predictions could sway traders' opinions and affect the volume and price of contracts.