TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:38 PM EST
Kalshi
In an upcoming USL Championship soccer match between Orange County and Monterey Bay FC, this event determines whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during regular time, including stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
If Orange County and Monterey Bay FC both score a goal in the Orange County vs Monterey Bay FC USL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks reveals how the collective wisdom of traders stacks up against professional oddsmakers. Often, prediction markets can offer different perspectives, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Sportsbooks typically set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing interpretations of available data or simply because the crowd holds a different view than the experts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Orange County vs Monterey Bay match. The price of a contract directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of a 'Yes' or 'No' result for BTTS.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Orange County and Monterey Bay FC score at least one goal during the match. The official result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the completion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Orange County or Monterey Bay FC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, team form, recent results, and any tactical adjustments announced by the managers could all contribute to shifts in trader sentiment and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market.