TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:42 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Orange County SC and Phoenix Rising FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Orange County SC" if Orange County SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Phoenix Rising FC" if Phoenix Rising FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Orange County SC and Phoenix Rising FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Orange County SC" if Orange County SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Phoenix Rising FC" if Phoenix Rising FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, but this market shows a more balanced outlook, it could indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a different outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Orange County SC or Phoenix Rising FC will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions prove correct. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Orange County SC vs. Phoenix Rising FC match. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning outcome. Any goals scored during regular play, or any extra time, will be considered, but penalty shootouts will not factor into the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Orange County SC or Phoenix Rising FC would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather forecasts, particularly if they predict conditions that favor one team’s playing style, could contribute to movement. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or tactical adjustments might also play a role in how this market evolves.